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02/15/2012 - Rotterdam, Netherlands (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Swiss icon Roger Federer, former Wimbledon runner-up Tomas Berdych and former U.S. Open champion Juan Martin del Potro were a trio of first-round winners Wednesday at the $1.6 million ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament.
The top-seeded former world No. 1 Federer posted a 6-4, 6-4 victory over Frenchman Nicolas Mahut on the indoor hardcourts here. The match was over in 67 minutes, as Federer tallied two service breaks and held his serve throughout on Day 3.
The 16-time major champion Federer was the Rotterdam titlist the last time he played here back in 2005.
Federer is fresh off last week's bitter disappointment in his native Switzerland, where he lost his singles match and doubles match in a 5-0 opening-round Davis Cup defeat at the hands of the heavy-underdog United States.
The 30-year-old Federer will encounter Russian Mikhail Youzhny on Thursday. The capable Youzhny was the Rotterdam champion in 2007 and runner-up in 2010.
Meanwhile, the second-seeded Berdych blew past Czech Lukas Rosol 6-4, 6-2, while a third-seeded del Potro held off French left-hander Michael Llodra 6-4, 6-7 (3-7), 6-4 at Ahoy Rotterdam.
Berdych titled in France two weeks ago.
Up next for Berdych will be Cypriot Marcos Baghdatis, while del Potro will battle Slovakian Karol Beck.
Finnish veteran Jarkko Nieminen reached the quarterfinals with a 6-3, 5-7, 7-6 (7-2) second-round victory over Poland's Lukasz Kubot.
Additional opening-round wins came for Baghdatis, Russian Alex Bogomolov Jr. and the qualifier Beck. The former Australian Open runner-up Baghdatis got past German Matthias Bachinger 7-6 (7-2), 6-2.
The 2012 Rotterdam winner will collect $385,000.
<< Five-a-Side: Ivy League's Robin Harris
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The big question with Ivy League football
often centers around the school presidents keeping the league champion on
the sidelines during the FCS playoffs.
This week, another important issue develop
<< Marsh, Phillips agree to terms with Lions
Vancouver, BC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The British Columbia Lions signed defensive
backs Ryan Phillips and Dante Marsh on Wednesday.
Phillips returns for his eighth season with the defending Grey Cup champions
and was eligible for free agenc
<< Argonauts ink WR Barnes
Toronto, ON (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Toronto Argonauts inked wideout Jason
Barnes, signing the fleet receiver through 2013.
Barnes, who was plucked from the Edmonton Eskimos, will be reunited with
former Esks quarterback and curren
<< The Sixth Man: Pacers fail big test
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - A moral victory in professional sports
borders on being a contradiction, at least until you actually see one.
There are no participation trophies when the big boys play, only the cold,
hard reality of wins
Animal Kingdom entered in Saturday allowance >>
Hallandale Beach, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Champion colt Animal Kingdom will
begin his four-year-old campaign on Saturday at Gulfstream Park. The Team
Valor thoroughbred had been expected to start in a stakes race next week.
Trainer G
Erakovic wins Bogota opener; Dominguez Lino ousted >>
Bogota, Colombia (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Top-seeded Marina Erakovic of New
Zealand was an easy opening-round winner, while reigning champion Lourdes
Dominguez Lino went by way of a second-round upset at the $220,000 Copa BBVA
Colsani
Ferrero exits Sao Paulo >>
Sao Paulo, Brazil (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Former world No. 1 Juan Carlos Ferrero
was sent packing in the opening round Wednesday at the $475,300 Brasil Open.
Argentine Leonardo Mayer toppled the sixth-seeded Ferrero in 7-6 (8-6), 6-2
fashion a
Juve held to scoreless draw in Parma >>
Parma, Italy (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Juventus missed out on a chance to return to
the Serie A summit on Wednesday as the club was held to a 0-0 draw at Parma.
Juve's weekend match with Bologna was postponed because of poor weather, which
allowe
In terms of sports wagering, the NFL is "the most popular game in town." The explanation behind that is easy.
It is called the "pointspread."
Many years ago, NFL games, as well as the more popular college games, used straight odds as a vehicle for betting. For example, if the Bears were playing the Giants, and it shaped up as a competitive contest, the Bears might be, say, a 7/5 favorite. If they were playing an also-ran, it might be 10/1. Well, there is a point where a line becomes prohibitive, as far as betting the favorite. And who would waste money betting an underdog that has virtually no chance? Such a setup did not contribute to promoting betting action.
But in modern sports betting, a "pointspread" is used.
A NFL pointspreads are exactly that, a pre-established point difference between the two sides that will, for all intents and purposes, create a handicap that evens things out, and in doing so, produces comparable wagering activity on both sides of that proposition. So in lieu of a odds figure in which to bet the team to win outright, the Bears might be a three-point favorite over the New York Giants, and a 17-point favorite over the also-ran. Now that the team that is the underdog can "get" points, there can be equal action on both sides.
In sportsbooks, this is usually done with efficiency by charging the losing bettors 10% extra - in effect, bettors are laying 11/10 on those games. So they are actually betting $110 to win $100. If they lose, they pay the "vig." If they win, they simply collect.
The establishment of the pointspread as the corner stone around which team sports like football can be wagered upon was truly what brought gridiron betting into the stratosphere for online football betting .
Don't believe it? Just take a look at what happens around the Super Bowl.
Stay with us here as we take you through the best in NFL action on a consistent basis, with advice columns as well as handicapping selections. If you're looking for college football betting, that's in our NCAA section, which you can reach by clicking here. And if you're looking for a different kind of football, such as the Canadian Football League, which we'll deal with occasionally, or the Arena Football League, which we really like, you can find it in our Miscellaneous section by clicking
Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting odds .
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Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting
So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.
Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?
If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)
Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).
In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.
Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.
| The Bubble Breakdown | |||
| CONFERENCE | LOCKS | SHOULD BE INS | AT-LARGES TAKEN (assuming no auto bid outlier) |
| ACC Betting Odds | 6 | 0 | 5 |
| Big East Betting Odds | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| Big Ten Betting Odds | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Big 12 Betting Odds | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Pac-10 Betting Odds | 5 | 1 | 5 |
| SEC Betting Odds | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| MVC Betting Odds | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| MWC Betting Odds | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| TOTAL | 28 | 5 | 25 |
As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.
(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)
If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.
Atlantic Coast Conference
Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech
The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.
Work left to do:
Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.
Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).
Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.
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